Indices · Commodities

Opportunities arise where index curves meet the earth’s raw materials.

Why Not Invest trades actively in equity index futures and key commodities. Positions are short-term and timed using technical analysis, but the direction is always set by the long-term macroeconomic currents driving the markets - technique in the short view, direction from the long one.

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Approach

Two markets. One discipline.

The most interesting opportunities in the futures market arise when the right technical timing meets the right macroeconomic direction. I use technical analysis to find and time my trades, while the long-term macroeconomic currents - interest rate developments, the business cycle and supply balances - set the overall direction.

The approach is the same whether I trade equity indices or commodities.

  • Macroeconomic directionRates, the business cycle and supply balances set the bias
  • Technical timingEntries and exits are found in price action
  • Risk management on every tradePosition sizing & stop levels
  • A journal on every tradeEvery trade is recorded and reviewed afterwards
Services

My business lines

Futures are the format I trade through today - Indices and Commodities are the two active areas. FX and crypto are being built up.

Why futures

My way into the markets went through equities. But over the past ten years, single stocks have become far less predictable, especially around earnings, where one announcement can move the price sharply. Futures move too, but they follow the broad global market rather than one company’s quarterly numbers. I can trade falling markets just as naturally as rising ones, and leverage makes the capital more efficient. That demands discipline in return, because leverage cuts both ways.

Indices

Active trading in US equity index futures - including the Nasdaq-100 (NQ), Dow Jones (YM) and S&P 500 (ES). Each index covers its own part of the US stock market: technology, the large industrial companies and the broad market. They are among the world’s most liquid futures and trade almost around the clock.

NQ · Nasdaq-100 YM · Dow Jones ES · S&P 500

Commodities

Active trading in commodity futures such as oil (WTI), platinum, gold and copper. Commodities respond to different forces than equities - supply, demand, geopolitics and the dollar - and so give a different picture of the economy than the stock indices.

WTI · Oil Platinum Gold Copper

FX · Crypto

An upcoming business line in currencies (FX) and crypto assets. The area is being built up.

Currencies Crypto In development
Portfolio

Examples

The examples below are illustrative - not actual trades.

Example · Indices

Tactical position ahead of a rate decision

Short-term exposure in Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ) ahead of a central bank rate decision, while the market’s expectations for monetary policy were shifting.

Example · Commodities

Copper as a barometer for global growth

Active position in copper futures, based on changing expectations for global industrial production and demand.

Example · Commodities

Gold as a hedge in an uncertain rate environment

Short-term position in gold futures during a period of shifting expectations for real interest rates and the dollar.

About me

Who is behind it

Henrik Spang Poulsen

Henrik Spang Poulsen

Founder · Indices · Commodities

Responsible for active trading in index and commodity futures.

FX · Crypto

This role is not yet filled

Responsible for trading in currencies (FX) and crypto assets.

I have traded the financial markets for 20 years. Alongside trading, I work in education. Why Not Invest is where I bring my own trading together - based on Zealand, Denmark.

My Yahoo trade 2015-2016

In early 2015 I bought a large position in Yahoo shares at around 44 dollars. The company had just had a lift after Alibaba’s IPO, and I was convinced there was more to come. There wasn’t. The price started to fall, and instead of stopping the trade I stayed in. I told myself it would come back. I had no plan for when to get out, and honestly, I didn’t really know what I was doing.

A year later I finally sold, between 27 and 31 dollars, close to the bottom. The loss was big, and it stung. It stung even more when the price was back above 40 the following year.

That trade taught me that hope is not a strategy. Today every single trade has a stop level before I enter - and it’s an agreement with myself, not a suggestion.

Contact

Contact me

Feel free to get in touch if you have questions about my approach or the markets.

I don’t currently offer portfolio management.

E-mail
hello@whynotinvest.dk
Phone
+45 60 62 10 53
CVR
46405145
Thank you for reaching out - I’ll get back to you as soon as possible.